Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 356.858566 407.501435 464.679526 534.396767 617.617535 714.409219 836.432639
2024-12-29 282.056861 346.667660 426.759159 534.824186 679.138372 868.615411 1142.031078
2025-01-05 237.134923 305.003997 394.215798 522.760037 707.857139 972.326322 1393.501282
2025-01-12 208.835841 278.423479 374.283530 520.031948 743.596357 1087.230495 1684.963590
2025-01-19 180.773365 247.549764 342.839963 493.813543 737.133294 1133.676585 1875.614528
2025-01-26 171.160518 241.219898 345.085971 517.276799 810.619853 1321.899641 2364.643564
2025-02-02 164.894423 238.734967 352.230802 548.767618 902.307715 1561.541704 3031.992391
2025-02-09 153.271577 226.570831 342.442600 550.116481 940.382471 1709.592364 3560.582310
2025-02-16 140.314360 210.911224 325.071794 535.515826 945.590708 1792.615345 3969.506628
2025-02-23 129.696113 197.996674 310.806413 524.347720 955.114432 1886.277415 4441.274488
2025-03-02 124.454706 193.419939 310.155237 538.097217 1017.205383 2111.394147 5367.960072
2025-03-09 118.026504 186.225399 304.098773 540.497436 1055.523203 2290.649190 6250.457435
2025-03-16 110.028664 175.884911 291.786218 529.725586 1064.823945 2405.774287 7010.552370
2025-03-23 104.372642 169.218308 285.610189 530.771872 1101.919573 2606.180252 8201.011248
2025-03-30 97.658474 160.110039 273.969159 518.774613 1105.619041 2715.748159 9122.224702
2025-04-06 92.699071 153.798825 267.071431 516.075890 1131.875686 2899.744610 10494.573383
2025-04-13 85.561030 142.978953 250.508564 490.103613 1094.093439 2877.685732 10923.963020
2025-04-20 84.346521 143.101976 255.521709 513.346529 1190.735957 3318.834570 14039.899110
2025-04-27 83.903465 144.628702 263.472213 544.537773 1316.775192 3914.964141 18785.908959
2025-05-04 80.617023 140.413341 259.187993 545.873708 1357.586753 4220.020250 22165.037885
2025-05-11 76.172871 133.639198 248.980037 531.412568 1348.396190 4328.997907 24324.347860
2025-05-18 72.351588 127.872314 240.493242 520.350558 1347.939483 4476.115345 27037.574467
2025-05-25 70.826049 126.600582 241.598750 533.969360 1429.027256 5009.004286 34109.436958